New Poll Shows Declining Latinx Support for GOP and Trump

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Latinos, immigrants, and supporters at Columbus Circle to protest Donald Trump’s proposed immigration policies (November 2016).

A new poll by a major Latinx advocacy group revealed that support for President Donald Trump and the Republican Party is waning among Latinx.

The survey by the largest Latinx civil rights and advocacy agency UnidosUS, formerly known as the National Council of La Raza, revealed that 66 percent of respondents were frustrated with how Trump and his allies treat immigrants and Latinx, and that they worry it will get worse if Trump is re-elected. Only 21 percent said that sentiment was not true for them.

“While the president claims Latino support is growing, that is not based in reality. In fact, he has brought down the overall likability of the entire party,” Clarissa Martínez-de-Castro, UnidosUS deputy vice president for policy and advocacy, told reporters in a conference call.

A majority of Latinx voters surveyed, 63 percent, said they have never voted for a Republican candidate while 37 percent said they have. Of those who said they have never voted for a GOP candidate, 60 percent said they would consider voting for a Republican candidate who spoke out against Trump’s harsh policies, treated Latinx with respect, and worked to create “more humane” immigration laws.

Among Latinx voters who reported they had voted for Republicans in the past, 56 percent said that it was hard to support GOP candidates now but would seriously consider voting Republican if the party focused on issues they cared about and treated Latinx with respect. Another 44 percent of previous GOP voters said the party does not have to do anything to continue winning their vote. 

“The poll shows that support for the GOP is eroding,” Martínez-de-Castro said in a press release cited by NBC News.

The poll revealed that Latinx voters were much more likely to vote for a Democratic nominee than Trump if the 2020 presidential election were held today.

Just 13 percent said they would definitely vote to re-elect Trump and 9 percent they would probably vote to re-elect the president. However, 45 percent of respondents said they would definitely vote for a Democratic nominee and 17 percent said they would probably vote for Trump’s challenger.

UnidosUS surveyed 1,854 people and has a margin or error of plus or minus 2.3 percent.

A Telemundo and Maxon-Dixon Strategies Inc. poll echoed those findings, which found that Hispanics in California, Texas, Florida, and New York City are more likely to vote to replace Trump with a Democrat.

Hispanic voters in New York City were the most likely to vote against Trump at 73 percent, while Hispanic voters in Florida were slightly less likely to do the same at 56 percent. In California, 66 percent said they would not re-elect Trump, and, in Texas, 69 percent they would not vote for him.

The poll surveyed 400 people in each state and has a plus or minus 5 percent margin of error.

The polls were released as Vice President Mike Pence visited Miami to launch a 2020 initiative called Latinos for Trump, New York Magazine reported. The vice president described the initiative to boost Latinx support in Trump’s reelection bid as “one of the most important coalitions of the 2020 campaign.”

Pence attempted to paint Democrats as socialists and compared proposals of Medicare for All and the Green New Deal to Venezuela’s state-run economy.

“Latin Americans know better than most about the cost of socialism,” Pence told the crowd. “It’s impoverished generations and stolen the liberty of millions… It’s remarkable to think about what the other side is trying to offer Americans.”

Florida is ground zero for the Hispanic vote. Hispanics are the fastest-growing portion of Florida’s electorate ahead of the 2020 election, increasing a surprising 81 percent between the 2014 and 2018 midterm elections, a report by Univision and L2 found. In 2018, 1.3 million Hispanics voted in the midterm elections.

Democrats also hope to woo voters of color in the Sunshine State. Florida Democrats plan to spend $4 million to boost the vote in Black and Hispanic neighborhoods this year.

 


About the Author

Nicole Rojas is a breaking news writer for The North Star. She has published in various venues, including Newsweek, GlobalPost, IHS Jane’s Defence Weekly, and the Long Island Post. Nicole graduated from Boston University in 2012 with a degree in print journalism. She is an avid world traveler who recently explored Asia and Australia.

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